PH&N Bond Fund
The Phillips Hager & North Bond fund tops
our list of frugal bond funds with consistent first
quartile performance since 1998. From January to
the end of September, the fund was up 6.4%, and
over the past five years the fund has returned an
average of 6.6% annually. Over the same period
the average Canadian bond fund returned 4.9%,
while the SCM Universe Bond Total Return index
rose an average of 6.8% annually. Indeed, the fund
has kept pace with the index since its inception in
1970.
Managed by Scott Lamont, a member of the
PH&N Fixed-Income team, the fund invests mainly
in government and high-yield corporate bonds
rated BBB or above (using the Dominion Bond
Rating Service scale), as well as in Canada
Mortgage and Housing Corporation backed
mortgages. A variety of strategies are used,
reflecting the manager's belief in strategy
diversification as a way to improve the risk-return
profile of the fund. One aspect of this approach is
active management, which leads to frequent
trading and, therefore, to a high turnover. Most of
the activity currently involves positions in
government bonds. Generally, the fund is managed
with the objective of keeping the average term to
maturity between seven and twelve years.
It is anticipated that fund performance will be
much more modest in the coming year as the recent
bond market rally runs out of steam. Factors cited
by Mr. Lamont to support this view include the
recent extreme levels of favourable investor
sentiment, which has driven yields down to very
low levels. It is expected that yields will start to
rise as confidence returns to the equity markets and
interest rates increase domestically. The fund aims
to maintain a low-level of corporate exposure
while at the same time being very selective about
those issues which are included in the portfolio.
This reflects a concern about the continued
weakness of corporate issues.
The portfolio's makeup at the end of the third
quarter does, in fact, indicate an expectation of
increases in interest rates, with short and mid-term
maturities being favoured. Long bonds make up
only 28% of the fund's assets. However, the
concentration in short-term issues is much less now
than it was at the beginning of the year. The
portfolio's duration has indeed been creeping
upward over the last three quarters which indicates
an increasing sensitivity to interest rates changes.
At present, the portfolio has an average term to
maturity of ten years and a duration of six years.
Taken as an aggregate, the portfolio's effective
yield is just under 5%.
Broken down by issuer type, the
fund holds 44.6% of its assets in
Canadian government bonds, 17.7% in
provincial bonds, 28.3% in corporates,
1.5% in mortgages, and 8.0% in cash.
These allocations have remained
essentially stable during the third
quarter. The largest corporate issuer
in the fund is Ford Credit Canada,
representing 2.6% of the portfolio. One of these
bonds is also the largest single corporate issue
held, accounting for 2% of assets. 53% of the
bonds held are rated AAA, while only 2.6% have
a BBB rating. The fraction of BBB rated bonds is
down from 6.6% at the end of the second quarter.
Considering only the corporate part of the
portfolio, the breakdown is 14% AAA, 4% AA,
74% A, and 8% BBB (expressed as a fraction of
total corporate holdings). According to the
Dominion Bond Rating Service at least 9 of the 42
distinct corporate issuers in the portfolio currently
have a negative ratings outlook, representing
10.6% of net assets. On the other
hand, 21 issuers have a stable outlook.
During the third quarter the corporate
bonds delivered good returns for the
fund. Cited by the manager as being
particularly beneficial were the
telecom and financial holdings.
Finally, it is worth noting that the PH&N Bond fund's MER is not only
lower than that of most actively-managed bond funds, it is also lower
than that of most bond index funds. Combined with its superb long-term
performance record, this fund has more than justified its five star
rating. Though its minimum investment level may be too high for some,
it should be clear that the PH&N Bond fund is worthy of inclusion in
conservative income-oriented portfolios.
FF: Q3 2002
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