Saxon World Growth
For the past fifteen years the Saxon
World Growth fund has yielded average
annual returns of 9.9%, ranking in the top-ten
global equity funds for that period. It thus
outperformed both its peer group and the
MSCI World index (expressed in Canadian
dollars) which yielded, respectively, 6.6% and
7.0% over the same time period. Only during
the past year has the fund been lagging the
index. For the twelve months ended
September 30th the fund gained 8.8%, trailing
the index's 10.1% return. The fund's recent
underperformance is likely the combined
result of the lacklustre performance of
American markets relative to Europe, the
rising Canadian dollar, and the fund's
continued large cash position.
The fund has been managed since its
inception by Bob Tattersall, who also
manages the Saxon Small-Cap fund. Well
known for his successful value approach to
small-cap investing, Mr. Tattersall brings the
same approach to the World Growth fund.
Small- and mid-cap stocks are selected using
a bottom-up approach which looks for good
companies with strong balance sheets and
solid management that are undervalued by the
market. Preferred indicators of value include
price-to-book, price-to-sales and price-to-
R&D ratios; Mr. Tattersall finds the latter
particularly useful for emerging companies.
He also places great emphasis on company
visits, which serve to further confirm a
company's outlook.
In keeping with his bottom-up approach,
Mr. Tattersall doesn't set specific geographic
or currency exposures. The fund's geographic
representation is an outcome of the stock
selection process, not an input. The only
restriction is that chosen stocks should trade
on the exchanges of developed countries.
With foreign stocks comes currency risk,
which Mr. Tattersall considers to be an
integral part of global investing. He does not
engage in any sort of currency hedging,
preferring instead to devote his time to the
search for undervalued stocks.
Generally, once selected, a stock stays in
the portfolio for three to five years as attested
to by the fund's 22% five year average
turnover. A stock is sold when it reaches a
previously established target price or if there
is an unforeseen significant deterioration of
the company's fundamentals that makes the
stock no longer suitable for the fund.
Taken in aggregate the portfolio
represents good value based on four of five
indicators. It sports an attractive 1.8%
dividend yield and currently sells for just
about book value and well below sales.
However, the fund's low earnings yield of
1.4% bears further examination. It turns out
that the fund currently gets clobbered on
earnings by a handful of stocks with large
proportional losses. Excluding the five stocks
with losses greater than 50% of the share
price the earnings yield climbs to a more
pleasing 6.1%, which translates into a priceto-
earnings ratio of about 16.
At the end of the third quarter the fund
held 73 stocks. The top three countries
represented in the portfolio were the United
States, Europe, and the United Kingdom. The
top three stocks were Marathon Oil, RPM
International, and First American, which are
all US-based. The fund also held a large 14%
cash position, down from 20% at the end of
June. The drop in cash is the result of
reduced inflows to the fund as well as
increased buying activity. The fund sold five
stocks during the quarter, including Veritas
DGC and Volt Information Sciences which
both reached their targets. Six new positions
were added including DSM NV, Argonaut
Group, and Florida East Coast Industries.
The fund also took advantage of sagging
markets to add to existing positions, notably
increasing its stake in Psion PLC by a factor
of 180.
Asked to name his best pick of the last
few years, Mr. Tattersall points to Ditech
Communications which he purchased at
below collateral value and near book value
following the tech bubble collapse. The
company went "back to basics" and the stock
appreciated by a factor of three before being
sold for a tidy profit in late 2003. On the
other hand, a position in Royal Doulton gets
tagged as the worst pick. The stock was
purchased at a discount to book value on the
assumption that management would either
turn the company around or sell it to one of its
competitors for the value of the brand name.
Neither scenario came to pass and the stock
was finally sold at a 90% loss.
The Saxon World Growth fund offers the
benefits of geographical diversification for a
reasonable 1.87% MER. It is available either
directly from Saxon or through dealers and
brokers everywhere in Canada for a $5,000
minimum investment.
In the short term, with a large U.S.
exposure, increasing oil prices, and a rising
Canadian dollar, the Saxon World Growth
fund may be in for a period of
underperformance. Nevertheless, with its
impressive track record and low fees the fund
is worthy of consideration for the foreign
equity component of frugal investors'
portfolios.
FF: Q3 2004
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