Saxon Small Cap
Over the past fifteen years, the Saxon Small
Cap fund has exceeded the performance of the
BMO Nesbitt Burns Small Cap (NBSC) index,
yielding an average return of 14.9% annually to
the index's 10.8%. While long-term performance
has been impressive, the fund has significantly
lagged the index over the past year. The index's
upward surge has been fueled in part by the
strong performance of the energy sector.
However, the Small Cap fund has not benefited
because it holds few energy stocks.
The fund is managed by well-known smallcap
authority Bob Tattersall, who was joined by
Scott Carscallen in 1999. Together these
managers apply Saxon's highly successful value
approach to investing, selecting mainly Canadian
stocks with less than $300 million in market
capitalization for the fund. The managers seek
companies that are trading below their intrinsic
value based on a variety of traditional indicators.
Disciplined and in-depth bottom-up analysis of
candidate companies forms the backbone of
Saxon's stock selection process. Calculating a
company's intrinsic value, which is the price that
a reasonable person in the same industry would
pay to purchase the entire company, is a key
component of this analysis. Company visits help
to further validate and give substance to the raw
numbers that appear in a company's financial
statements. Such visits play an important role in
further supporting the fund managers' decisions.
Another key mainstay of Saxon's approach is
that, once purchased, stocks are generally held for
the long term. The Small Cap fund's low 30%
average turnover is a testament to this approach
and suggests that a stock typically remains in the
fund's portfolio for about three years. A target
price of 25% above intrinsic value is usually set.
Once that price is reached the stock is sold, but
unexpected developments, or a significant
deterioration of a company's balance sheet may
also trigger a sale.
At the end of the third quarter the fund was,
in aggregate, reasonably inexpensive based on
most measures. Its median ratio of price-to-sales
was low at 0.58, and its price-to-cash flow ratio
was a modest 8.4. The fund's median price-tobook
ratio of 1.37 was also relatively attractive.
Keeping in mind that small companies typically
don't pay large dividends, the fund's 1% dividend
yield comes as no surprise. However, the fund
was expensive on the basis of its median price-toearnings
ratio of 45.3, which translates to a 2.2%
earnings yield. But when considered against the
NBSC index's median P/E ratio of 118, the fund
doesn't look so bad after all. All in all, the fund's
portfolio was a good reflection of its small-cap
value style.
At the close of trading on September 30th, the
fund held eighty-nine stocks and a 12.1% cash
position. The cash reserve has been above 10%
since before the end of the first quarter. During
the third quarter it remained high because of
significant portfolio activity which saw the fund
dump seven stocks and initiate six new positions,
with sales overtaking purchases. At quarter end,
the fund's top-three sectors were industrials,
materials, and services, and the top-three stocks
were Charming Shoppes, Gentry Resources, and
Aur Resources. The fund sold Blair, Devlan
Exploration, Hammond Power Solutions,
Paradyne Networks, Real Resources, Thunder
Energy, and Wajax Income Fund during the
quarter. At the same time it added DRAXIS
Health, GEOCAN Energy, Great Plains
Exploration, Grey Wolf Exploration, Husky
Injection Molding Systems, True Energy, and
Zhone Technologies.
Several of the third quarter's sales were
triggered by conversions of ongoing businesses to
trust structures. Generally, Mr. Tattersall doesn't
favour income trusts unless they are 'busted',
which means that they are in some distress. A
trust that recently cut its distribution would be a
good example of a distressed trust. As a result of
this preference, newly minted trusts tend to be
sold.
Asked to pinpoint his best stock pick of the
last few years, Mr. Tattersall points to Creo Inc.
At the time of purchase it was a former growth
stock that had fallen out of favour with growth
investors. However, after falling to a cheaper
price it was attractive. Mr. Tattersall also
believed the company to be a likely takeover
candidate. Uncharacteristically, the fund sold
Creo a mere six months after its initial purchase,
shortly before the company was acquired by
Kodak earlier this year.
But Mr. Tattersall also takes his lumps,
indicating SR Telecom as his worst recent pick.
A global wireless telecom company, SR Telecom
catered mainly to government clients. The stock
was originally purchased with some reservations
about future sales, but the outcome turned out to
be far worse. Orders were much slower than
expected and the company found itself squeezed
for capital by its banks. Forced to raise more
equity, the company saw its share price tumble.
The fund exited SR Telecom in the second
quarter of this year.
So far this year the fund has underperformed
the NBSC index mainly because it holds only half
the index weight in red-hot energy stocks. The
fund has also lagged relative to the broader
markets in a reflection of the recent weakness of
the small cap sector. Mr. Tattersall points to the
sector's low relative representation of energy and
interest rate-sensitive stocks as the driving force
behind the weakness. However, going forward,
Mr. Tattersall is cautiously optimistic that
declining energy prices (in the short term) and
rising interest rates will bring renewed strength to
the small-cap sector and to the fund.
The Saxon Small Cap fund is available
everywhere in Canada for a reasonable $5,000
minimum investment. It can be purchased
through dealers and brokers, or directly from
Saxon.
With a low 1.87% MER, a lower than
average volatility, and a superb long-term
performance record, the Saxon Small Cap fund is
an excellent candidate for adding an aggressive
edge to a frugal investor's portfolio.
FF: Q3 2005
| |
|