Beutel Goodman Canadian Equity
During 2003 the Beutel Goodman (BG)
Canadian Equity fund posted a 26.7% gain,
matching the performance of the S&P/TSX
Composite Total Return index and surpassing the
average Canadian equity fund by 6%. Over the
longer term, the fund's performance has
consistently exceeded that of its peer group and of
the index. The fund performed admirably during
the recent bear market, returning an average of
8.8% annually over the past three years while the
index lost 1%. Over ten years, the fund gained an
average of 9.5% annually compared to the average
Canadian equity fund's 7.5% return.
For the past four years the fund has been
under the direction of Mark Thomson, who also
manages the equity portion of the Beutel Goodman
Balanced fund. Mr. Thomson brings a bottom-up,
contrarian, value-based approach to all the funds
under his direction. His focus is on stock picking
wherein stocks are viewed as whole businesses.
Companies with strong fundamentals and good
business prospects but whose stock is undervalued,
for whatever reason, are potential candidates for
purchase by the fund. Mr. Thomson's preferred
indicator of strength is a company's discounted
expected-free-cash-flow. He also looks for stocks
that have below-average price-to-cash-flow ratios,
and above average dividend yields. To ensure that
the fund buys at a deep discount, Mr. Thomson
requires an expected return of at least 50% over
two to three years and 100% for cyclical stocks.
The fund will hold no more than 45 individual
stocks, with no stock making up more than 10% of
the portfolio and no sector having a weight greater
than 1.2 times its market weight. Once a stock is
purchased, it is usually held for two to three years.
However, if a stock reaches its target price then the
fund immediately sells one-third of its position
with "no questions asked", and the company is
re-assessed.
Although the fund purchases mainly large-cap
stocks, it gains exposure to the small-cap sector by
purchasing units of the BG Small Cap fund. The
target weight for this position is determined
through an assessment of the relative number of
buying opportunities available in the large-cap and
small-cap universes. If more good opportunities
are seen for small caps, then the size of the
position is increased, and vice-versa.
At the end of 2003 the fund held thirty-five
individual stocks. The portfolio had a dividend
yield of 2.2% and an earnings yield of 5.4% (which
is equivalent to a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.3).
This is to be compared with the 0.5% median yield
and median price-to-earnings ratio of 26 for the
S&P/TSX Composite. Other value ratios were also
favourable for the fund, although the price-to-book
ratio, at 1.9, was somewhat on the high side. On
the whole, the fund's portfolio represented good
value.
The thirty-five stocks held by the fund at the
end of the year represented 81% of assets. Units of
the BG Small Cap fund made up a further 11%,
down from 16% earlier in the year. Finally, the
fund also held an 8% cash position.
Its top three sectors were Financial Services,
Industrial Products, and Oil & Gas, and the top
three individual stocks were TD Bank, Manulife
Financial, and BCE. The fund has been fairly
active recently. Many stocks reached their target
price and triggered the automatic one-third sale,
including the major banks and technology stocks
such as Nortel and Cognos. In fact, the fund is no
longer exposed to high-technology stocks. Its
exposure to cyclical stocks has also recently been
pared back with the sale of Suncor and a trimming
of Newmont Mining. On the other hand the fund
has been buying life insurance companies, adding
Sun Life Financial in the fall, and increasing its
holdings of Manulife. Additional shares of BCE
and Molson were also added during the year.
Asked about his best and worst picks, Mr.
Thomson points out the very good performance of
the fund's bank stocks, as well as his decision to
buy Telus and Quebecor earlier in 2003. On the
other hand he admits that an investment in
Bombardier, purchased a few years back at $16 on
the belief that the stock was really worth $24,
proved to be untimely. The fund ultimately exited
Bombardier at $10, taking a loss. Of the stocks
currently in the portfolio Mr. Thomson singles out
Quebecor World and Royal Group Technologies as
disappointments. However, he is more optimistic
about the latter than when we last spoke in April
2003, having recently purchased additional shares
of Royal Group Technologies.
Going forward, Mr. Thomson expects much
lower returns for the fund over the coming two to
three years. This is in part because many stocks in
the portfolio are approaching their targets and there
have been few good buying opportunities for the
fund. The lack of opportunities is the reason for
the fund's current large cash position. The Small
Cap fund has been seeing more good opportunities
and is fully invested, but Mr. Thomson feels that
these opportunities are not currently good enough
to justify increasing the Canadian Equity fund's
small-cap exposure.
In addition to its modest 1.35% management
expense ratio, the Beutel Goodman Canadian
Equity fund charges a maximum front-end load of
4% of the total investment. As always, frugal
investors should buy load funds through a discount
broker who will waive the load. For a minimum
initial investment of $10,000 the fund is available
to investors across the country.
A respectable long-term track record
combined with low fees, a moderate turnover, and
a solid commitment to value investing makes the
Beutel Goodman Canadian Equity fund very
attractive. It is suitable as a core Canadian equity
holding for frugal value-oriented investors.
FF: Q4 2003
| |
|