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Rothery Report Performance

Current Stats

Average Capital Gain

40.9%

Average Holding Period

2.4 Yrs

03/31/2001 to 03/31/2008


Six Years in Review

We published the sixth anniversary edition of the Rothery Report in early 2007 and we are pleased to say that we're still going strong. Over the past six years we earned our keep by uncovering some very profitable situations.

Our best performer in our first six years was Books-A-Million which we sold last June. We booked a capital gain of 606% on Books-A-Million and a total return of 626%. This year, Service moved up to take the number two spot with a capital gain of 374%. We are still hoping for good things from Service. If it hits our new high limit, we'll pick up a capital gain of 478%. Third place goes to Algoma Central which we sold in December for an average capital gain of 263% and an average total return of 279%. Following behind, Indigo Books & Music, our second book store, has gained 249%. Four stocks that we sold some time ago enjoyed profits in the hundreds. Toys 'R' Us climbed 158%, John B. Sanfilippo & Sons vaulted 149%, Circuit City helped investors with a 148% gain, and M.D.C. moved 123% higher.

Top Rothery Report Capital Gainers
CompanyCapital GainYears HeldAnnualized Gain
Books-A-Million 606% 3.5 76%
Service 374% 4.7 39%
Algoma Central 263% 4.3 35%
Indigo 249% 4.5 32%
Lone Star Tech 221% 3.3 43%
Apple Computer 213% 2.2 67%
Toys 'R' Us 158% 1.7 76%
John B Sanfilippo 149% 0.8 210%
Circuit City 148% 2.7 41%
MDC 123% 2.1 45%


Greatest hits are one thing, but how do we stack up overall? As previously reported, the average Rothery Report stock has provided capital gains of 51.5% since first being suggested and we've held our stocks for 2.3 years on average. Based on these two numbers, our annualized average capital gain comes in at a very robust 19.8% which is an improvement over last year's result. Add in dividends and our total returns would be a few percentage points higher.

We also like to keep an eye on our batting average. While we don't expect to hit a home run every time, we would be disappointed if too many of our picks fouled off. To date, over two thirds of our picks have shown positive capital gains and our batting average comes in at 0.677 or 67.7%. A good result but we'll try to do even better in the future. We hope that you'll join us as we hunt for undervalued stocks.

 
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Disclaimers: Consult with a qualified investment advisor before trading. Past performance is a poor indicator of future performance. The information on this site, and in its related newsletters, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, financial advice or recommendations. If you need personalized financial advice then please consider our private client services. The information on this site is in no way guaranteed for completeness, accuracy or in any other way.

A Dan Hallett and Associates Inc. publication. Norm Rothery, Ph.D., CFA, is the Chief Investment Strategist at Dan Hallett and Associates Inc. (DH&A) and the founder of StingyInvestor.com. DH&A is registered as Investment Counsel in the province of Ontario. Norm, DH&A, or related-parties may have an interest in the securities mentioned. More...