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Stingy News Quarterly 2008: Q1 Q2 2007: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2006: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2005: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2004: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2003: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2002: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2001: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Stingy News Weekly 2008 06: 01 08 15 22 05: 04 11 18 25 04: 06 13 20 27 03: 02 09 16 23 30 02: 03 10 17 24 01: 06 13 20 27 2007 12: 02 09 16 23 30 11: 04 11 18 25 10: 07 14 21 28 09: 02 09 16 23 30 08: 05 12 19 26 07: 01 08 15 22 27 06: 03 10 17 23 05: 06 13 20 27 04: 01 08 15 22 29 03: 04 11 18 25 02: 04 11 18 25 01: 07 14 21 28 Dan's Reports Dilution excessive Fund fees revisited T class funds Bonds vs. bond funds Bear market protectors Investing in bonds Ignore bonds at your peril Coping with change Future of trust funds Dilution trumps Are fees excessive? Performance anxiety Top advisory model? 81-106 a step back Poor fund classifications Pension shortfall A longer-term report card Information overload About Dan Privacy Policy |
The Stingy News Weekly (05/04/2008)"Price is what you pay, value is what you get" - Charlie Munger Stingy Links http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/articles/articlearchive.shtml Woodstock for capitalists 2008 blog http://socialize.morningstar.com/NewSocialize/blogs/post.aspx?App=Berkshire&postid=2512990&t1=1209873669 "A shareholder asked how one can correct one's mind set away from a crowd mentality. Mr. Buffett said to read and re-read Ben Graham's The Intelligent Investor. He specifically said that chapters 8 and 20 are most poignant, but that the lessons from the book are as relevant today as they were when he first read Graham's book when he was 19 years old. He also said there are basically three lessons to take away from the book: (1) Think of stocks as owning parts of a business, (2) Use the market to serve you rather than instruct you, and (3) Always require a margin of safety when investing. In today's environment, these principles are critical, and I especially think the second one is important to remember, as, in my opinion, it can help investors tune out the rampant noise in the market, helping them improve their investment temperament over time." Updates from the annual meeting http://www.omaha.com/index.php?u_page=1208&u_sid=10307649 "Qwest Center Omaha is filled to the rafters with Berkshire Hathaway shareholders. More than 30,000 people were expected to hear Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger talk about the holding company that includes brand names like Benjamin Moore paints and Dairy Queen ice cream stores." Interview with Warren Buffett http://www.cnbc.com/id/24427633/site/14081545 "CNBC's Becky Quick sits down with Warren Buffett to discuss the upcoming shareholder meeting, which starts Friday night and runs through Monday. Buffett refers to the annual event as "Woodstock for Capitalists."" Warren Buffett deal interview http://www.cnbc.com/id/24352706/site/14081545/ "I think we're in a recession. I mean, a recession is defined in a certain way by the National Bureau of Economic Research, but I think it's defined by the man in the street a little differently than whether there have been two quarters of reported (negative) GDP growth. And incidentally, when GDP growth is below 1% a year it's really falling on a per capita basis because our population increases about one percent. So even though the National Bureau uses an absolute figure, it's up one-tenth they don't count that as a recessionary quarter, but the GDP per capita has gone down in a quarter where the gain is half a percent or something of the sort. We are in a recession, unless you want to stick strictly to the technical definition, which I really don't think has much meaning to the fellow who has lost his job or is facing a money-market fund that isn't paying him out, or whatever it might be." Meet the Buffetts http://www.pbs.org/nbr/site/features/special/meet-the-buffetts_home/ "Berkshire Hathaway's annual meeting happens May 3rd in Omaha and, once again, the company's billionaire chairman and CEO, Warren Buffett, will be in the spotlight. Last year, NBR brought viewers an interview with Buffett. This year, anchor Susie Gharib interviews Buffett's three children to find out what their father taught them about money and business." New advice from on high http://www.forbes.com/home/2008/04/29/croesus-chronicles-buffett-oped-cz_rl_0430croesus.html "Everyone will be delighted to hear the details of the minority interest in the Mars-Wrigley candy giant that was made public this week. They will hang on to every hint of the future for Berkshire's huge position in railroad stocks (already profitable) and its staged acquisition of Marmon Group, which owns and leases 94,000 rail cars that must be used to carry the increasingly valuable coal from coast to coast. Think replay of 19th century railroad magnate here without the watered down stock and internecine battles with ruthless competitors." [I was uncertain about linking this one because of its focus on capital gains. Include dividends, which have historically been a major source of profits for stock investors, and the record of past returns improves dramatically.] Pay the taxman by midnight or else! http://network.nationalpost.com/np/blogs/wealthyboomer/archive/2008/04/30/t-day-pay-the-taxman-by-midnight-or-else.aspx "Today of course is T-day in Canada: the annual tax filing deadline. If you owe the Canada Revenue Agency income taxes for calendar 2007, the penalty and interest clock starts ticking at midnight: the moment April 30th turns into May 1st. If the CRA owes you there is less urgency but if you have a refund coming, the sooner you file your tax return the sooner you can cash the cheque and put your money to work." Warren Buffett - in 1974 http://www.forbes.com/opinions/2008/04/30/warren-buffett-profile-invest-oped-cx_hs_0430buffett.html "Stay dispassionate and be patient is Buffett's message. "You're dealing with a lot of silly people in the marketplace; it's like a great big casino and everyone else is boozing. If you can stick with Pepsi, you should be OK." First the crowd is boozy on optimism and buying every new issue in sight. The next moment it is boozy on pessimism, buying gold bars and predicting another Great Depression." Fee-only must mean just that http://www.nationalpost.com/story-printer.html?id=478110 "Canadian financial planners should eliminate the ambiguity by scrapping the phrase "fee-only" when charging fees computed as a percentage of client assets. Instead, they should use the term "asset-based," which is far less confusing for clients." House prices decline http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=agQQsnDV3HII&refer=home "House prices dropped 2.6 percent in February from a month earlier, after a 2.4 percent decline in January, the S&P/Case- Shiller report showed. The figures aren't adjusted for seasonal effects, so economists prefer to focus on year-over-year changes instead of month-to-month. The group's 10-city composite index, with a history back to 1987, fell 13.6 percent in the 12 months ended in February, also the most on record. Nineteen of the 20 cities in the index showed a year-over- year decrease in prices for February, led by a 23 percent slump in Las Vegas and a 22 percent decline in Miami. Charlotte was the only area showing a gain with a 1.5 percent increase. Compared with January, homes in all 20 areas covered dropped in value." Economy in a recession, will be worse than feared http://www.usatoday.com/money/economy/2008-04-28-buffett-recession_N.htm "'This is not a field of specialty for me, but my general feeling is that the recession will be longer and deeper than most people think,' Buffett said. 'This will not be short and shallow.' 'I think consumers are feeling gas and food prices,' he added, 'and not feeling they've got a lot of money for other things.'" One guy who has seen it all http://online.wsj.com/article/SB120916592206646195.html?mod=psp_mostpop "Today's trouble, the 89-year-old Mr. Bernstein says, is worse than he has seen since the Depression and threatens to roil markets into 2009 and beyond -- longer than many people expect." Mars agrees to buy Wrigley http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aItpBAev9JAw&refer=home "The purchase will be financed with $11 billion from Mars, $4.4 billion from Berkshire and $5.7 billion from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Berkshire will also buy a $2.1 billion stake in the Wrigley unit once the purchase is completed." S&P/TSX60 Value Screens http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy.shtml High Dividend Yield Stocks P/E P/B P/S P/C P/D Yield* ========================================== === === === === === ====== Biovail (BVF) 5 5 3 5 5 5 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 3 4 4 1 5 5 National Bank of Canada (NA) 3 4 5 4 5 5 CIBC (CM) 2 4 5 4 5 5 Royal Bank (RY) 4 3 4 5 5 5 BCE (BCE) 5 3 4 5 5 5 TransCanada (TRP) 3 4 3 4 5 5 Telus (T) 4 4 4 5 5 5 Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) 3 3 3 1 5 5 Husky Energy (HSE) 4 2 3 4 4 4 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/dogs.shtml Value Ratio Stocks P/E P/B P/S P/C P/D VR ========================================== === === === === === ===== Biovail (BVF) 5 5 3 5 5 0.7 Thomson (TOC) 5 5 2 2 4 1.9 BCE (BCE) 5 3 4 5 5 1.9 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 3 4 4 1 5 2.4 Royal Bank (RY) 4 3 4 5 5 3.1 Husky Energy (HSE) 4 2 3 4 4 3.2 Telus (T) 4 4 4 5 5 3.2 National Bank of Canada (NA) 3 4 5 4 5 3.4 Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) 3 3 3 1 5 3.4 Toronto Dominion Bank (TD) 4 3 3 2 4 3.5 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/valueratio.shtml Graham Stocks P/E P/B P/D G$ dG$(%) ========================================== === === === ====== ====== ACE Aviation (ACE.B) 5 5 0 93.22 381.03 MDS Inc. (MDS) 5 5 0 47.34 134.37 Thomson (TOC) 5 5 4 55.77 48.79 Biovail (BVF) 5 5 5 16.15 31.62 Nova (NCX) 5 4 3 35.98 31.14 Magna Cl.A (MG.A) 4 5 3 104.30 30.45 Petro Canada (PCA) 5 4 2 60.51 17.71 BCE (BCE) 5 3 5 41.35 10.70 Weston George (WN) 4 5 4 51.49 3.19 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/graham.shtml *Notes: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/notes.shtml Switch to the HTML version if the tables aren't formatted properly. http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Books for Stingy Investors Value Investing: A Balanced Approach by Martin J. Whitman Value Investing encourages investors to cast off the tyranny of earnings and to focus instead on balance sheets and book values. Well-capitalised firms can withstand an occasional headwind and can be excellent values provided that they are bought for reasonable prices. Safe and cheap are the driving factors for value investors. Although Whitman's prose is occasionally a bit dry, his useful ideas makes Value Investing well worth reading. Amazon Link: http://www.amazon.ca/exec/obidos/ASIN/0471398101/ Stock Research From Dan Hallett & Associates The Rothery Report http://www.rotheryreport.com/ The Rothery Report provides research on select deep-value stocks in North America. Discover overlooked and undervalued stocks in quarterly investment reports which provide detailed analysis of Canadian and U.S. stocks. Weekly email news and additional updates keep subscribers informed about new opportunities and developments. Rothery Report Performance (03/31/2001 to 03/31/2008) Average Capital Gain Average Holding Period 40.9% 2.4 Years Learn More http://www.rotheryreport.com/store/store.shtml Subscribe Today http://www.rotheryreport.com/store/order.shtml If you'd like to suggest The Stingy News to a friend, please point them to: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Please visit the StingyInvestor website at http://www.stingyinvestor.com To (un)subscribe please use our email centre at http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Email comments or questions to info@stingyinvestor.com Refer to legal & conflict of interest disclaimers at http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/legal.shtml Privacy Policy http://www.ndir.com/SI/legal/privacy.shtml We do not rent or sell our email list to third parties. ISSN 1499-2795 Copyright Dan Hallett and Associates Inc., 2008. All rights reserved. The securities mentioned in this report are not appropriate for all investors. Consult your professional investment advisor before making any investment decision. While all reasonable effort is made to ensure the accuracy of information and data contained herein, accuracy can not be guaranteed. Past performance is not a good predictor of future performance. Results are not guaranteed and we assume no liability whatsoever for any material losses that may occur. No compensation for suggesting particular securities or financial advisors is solicited or accepted. The information in this newsletter, and in its related website, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, financial advice or recommendations. Investing in stocks can be risky and may result in substantial losses. A Dan Hallett and Associates Inc.(DH&A) publication. DH&A is registered as Investment Counsel in the province of Ontario. DH&A, or related-parties may have an interest in the securities mentioned. | ||||
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A Dan Hallett and Associates Inc. publication. Norm Rothery, Ph.D., CFA, is the Chief Investment Strategist at Dan Hallett and Associates Inc. (DH&A) and the founder of StingyInvestor.com. DH&A is registered as Investment Counsel in the province of Ontario. Norm, DH&A, or related-parties may have an interest in the securities mentioned. More... | |||||