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Stingy News Weekly
2008
  05: 04 11
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2007
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Dan's Reports
  Fund fees revisited
  T class funds
  Bonds vs. bond funds
  Bear market protectors
  Investing in bonds
  Ignore bonds at your peril
  Coping with change
  Future of trust funds
  Dilution trumps
  Are fees excessive?
  Performance anxiety
  Top advisory model?
  81-106 a step back
  Poor fund classifications
  Pension shortfall
  A longer-term report card
  Information overload
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The Stingy News Weekly (05/13/2007)

"The intelligent investor is likely to need considerable will
power to keep from following the crowd."  - Benjamin Graham


Stingy Links
http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/articles/articlearchive.shtml

Munger speaks on Berkshire's success
http://news.morningstar.com/article/article.asp?id=193723
""I didn't set out in life to become the assistant leader of a cult." That
is how Charlie Munger welcomed shareholders to the 2007 Wesco (WSC) annual
meeting. The cult, of course, is the loyal throng of value investors that
invade both Omaha, Neb., and Pasadena, Calif., each spring to learn at
the feet at Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger, and as Munger noted "to leave
a little wiser than they came.""

What Buffett might buy
http://www.businessweek.com/bwdaily/dnflash/content/may2007/db20070507_334857.htm?chan=top+news_top+news+index_top+story
"If Buffett is intent on finding a mega-deal, what kind of target is most
likely? For starters, the sage favors high-quality businesses with
long-term competitive advantages, what he describes as "a moat" that keeps rivals
at a safe distance. He shies away from businesses he doesn't understand,
such as technology. Perhaps most important, Buffett is looking for a
well-run company with a solid management team that he doesn't have to go in and
replace. And he's not chasing after a quick buck. Once he buys a company,
he wants to hold on for the long haul, unlike most private equity firms."

Is the market rational?
http://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/fortune_archive/2002/12/09/333473/index.htm
"That brings us back to Thaler, who was working on a Ph.D. in economics at
Rochester in the early 1970s. His dissertation was an attempt to put a
value on human life by looking at how much more people were paid to work in
risky fields like mining and logging. He was working on the assumption, of
course, that people rationally weighed the risk of death in their decision
to accept a job. Along the way Thaler decided to ask a few friends how
much they'd be willing to pay to eliminate a one-in-1,000 chance of
immediate death and how much they would have to be paid to willingly accept an
extra one-in-1,000 chance of immediate death. What he found was that they
wouldn't pay much for the extra margin of safety but demanded huge sums to
accept added risk--which isn't, strictly speaking, rational. "I came to two
conclusions about these answers," Thaler wrote years later. "(1) I had
better get back to running regressions if I want to graduate, and (2) the
disparity between buying and selling prices was very interesting." Thaler did
discuss his subversive thoughts with a few trusted colleagues and people
from other disciplines. One of those people happened to be a newly minted
psychology Ph.D., who sent Thaler a copy of a 1974 article by Israeli
psychology professors Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman. (Tversky died in 1996;
if he were still around, he surely would have shared in this year's
Nobel.) The article argued that in making decisions involving probability and
risk, people rely on mental shortcuts that "are highly economical and
usually effective but ... lead to systematic and predictable errors." It was
that last part that was so significant. That people make judgment errors
wasn't news, but if those errors were "systematic and predictable," well,
that was something an equation-wielding economist could get up and run with."

Regaled with Buffettania
http://www.forbes.com/home/opinions/2007/05/07/buffett-berkshire-omaha-oped-cx_bl_0507buffett.html
"Will global liquidity keep driving prices higher? The second-richest man
in America is "baffled by the liquidity sloshing around in the world. It's
hard to find very much fear. That's the trouble with a complacent world."
Chimed in Munger: "Eventually we'll have an event that will change
people's perception. We always do." What will it be? Privately, Buffett worries
about a debacle many times Long Term Capital's demise in 1998. He suggests
it will be many hedge funds all with the same highly leveraged positions
in derivatives that will be damnably hard--if not impossible--to unwind."

Watsa's foray at Torstar
http://www.canada.com/nationalpost/financialpost/story.html?id=9d2c7b02-be53-47ef-8306-5b32c46e921d
"What is he doing? That has been the reaction in some quarters to the
recent news that Prem Watsa's Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd. has bought a
good-sized position in the class B nonvoting shares in Torstar Corp., a
company controlled by the owners of its class A voting shares. It's not known
what value investor Watsa plans to do with what is his first such foray, but
there are precedents for such activity."


S&P/TSX60 Value Screens
http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy.shtml 

High Dividend Yield Stocks                     P/E P/B P/S P/C P/D Yield*
============================================== === === === === === ======
Biovail (BVF)                                   1   2   1   5   5    5
Bank of Montreal (BMO)                          5   4   3   3   5    5
BCE (BCE)                                       3   4   4   5   5    5
Transalta (TA)                                  1   4   3   4   5    5
TransCanada (TRP)                               3   4   2   4   5    5
National Bank of Canada (NA)                    5   4   4   3   5    5
Enbridge (ENB)                                  3   3   5   3   5    5
Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS)                       4   3   3   2   5    5
Royal Bank (RY)                                 4   3   3   2   5    5
Toronto Dominion Bank (TD)                      3   4   3   3   4    4
More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/dogs.shtml 

Value Ratio Stocks                             P/E P/B P/S P/C P/D  VR
============================================== === === === === === =====
Bank of Montreal (BMO)                          5   4   3   3   5   3.3
National Bank of Canada (NA)                    5   4   4   3   5   3.4
Teck Cominco Limited (TCK.B)                    5   5   4   5   4   4.0
BCE (BCE)                                       3   4   4   5   5   4.1
CIBC (CM)                                       5   3   3   2   4   4.3
Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS)                       4   3   3   2   5   4.4
Royal Bank (RY)                                 4   3   3   2   5   4.9
Toronto Dominion Bank (TD)                      3   4   3   3   4   5.1
TransCanada (TRP)                               3   4   2   4   5   5.3
Sun Life (SLF)                                  4   5   4   2   4   5.6
More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/valueratio.shtml 

Graham Stocks                                  P/E P/B P/D   G$   dG$(%)
============================================== === === === ====== ======
Teck Cominco Limited (TCK.B)                    5   5   4   61.24  29.58
ACE Aviation Holdings Inc. (ACE.B)              5   5   0   34.76  16.45
More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/graham.shtml 

*Notes: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/notes.shtml 


Books for Stingy Investors

Contrarian Investment Strategies: The Next Generation
by David Dreman

David Dreman has provided perhaps the best modern book on value
investing and the markets. He goes from the basics through to
advanced topics and the sheer amount of useful information in his
book is remarkable. As an added bonus, Dreman's writing is clear
and approachable - a feat rarely seen in investing books. All
but the most grizzled market veteran will pick up a few good ideas
from Contrarian Investment Strategies: The Next Generation.
Amazon Link: http://www.amazon.ca/exec/obidos/ASIN/0684813505/


Stock Research From Dan Hallett & Associates

The Rothery Report
http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/store.shtml 

The Rothery Report provides research on select deep-value stocks in
North America. Discover overlooked and undervalued stocks in quarterly
investment reports which provide detailed analysis of Canadian and
U.S. stocks.  Weekly email news and additional updates keep
subscribers informed about new opportunities and developments.

Rothery Report Performance (03/31/2001 to 03/31/2007)
  Average Capital Gain    Average Holding Period
    Sold Stocks: 75.5%      Sold Stocks: 2.1 Years
    All Stocks: 51.5%       All Stocks: 2.3 Years

Special Bonus Reports: Top Smaller Stocks 2007
http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/store/TopSmallStocks.shtml

Learn More
http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/store.shtml

Subscribe Today
http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/store/order.shtml 



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ISSN 1499-2795 Copyright Dan Hallett and Associates Inc., 2007.
All rights reserved. The securities mentioned in this report are not
appropriate for all investors. Consult your professional investment
advisor before making any investment decision.  While all reasonable
effort is made to ensure the accuracy of information and data
contained herein, accuracy can not be guaranteed. Past performance is
not a good predictor of future performance.  Results are not
guaranteed and we assume no liability whatsoever for any material
losses that may occur.  No compensation for suggesting particular
securities or financial advisors is solicited or accepted.  The
information in this newsletter, and in its related website, is not
intended to be, nor does it constitute, financial advice or
recommendations.  Investing in stocks can be risky and may result in
substantial losses.  A Dan Hallett and Associates Inc.(DH&A)
publication.  DH&A is registered as Investment Counsel in the province
of Ontario. DH&A, or related-parties may have an interest in the
securities mentioned.

 

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Disclaimers: Consult with a qualified investment advisor before trading. Past performance is a poor indicator of future performance. The information on this site, and in its related newsletters, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, investment advice or recommendations. If you need personalized financial advice then please consider our private client services. The information on this site is in no way guaranteed for completeness, accuracy or in any other way.

A Dan Hallett and Associates Inc. publication. Norm Rothery, Ph.D., CFA, is the Chief Investment Strategist at Dan Hallett and Associates Inc. (DH&A) and the founder of StingyInvestor.com. DH&A is registered as Investment Counsel in the province of Ontario. Norm, DH&A, or related-parties may have an interest in the securities mentioned. More...