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Stingy News Quarterly 2008: Q1 2007: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2006: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2005: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2004: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2003: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2002: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2001: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Stingy News Weekly 2008 05: 04 11 04: 06 13 20 27 03: 02 09 16 23 30 02: 03 10 17 24 01: 06 13 20 27 2007 12: 02 09 16 23 30 11: 04 11 18 25 10: 07 14 21 28 09: 02 09 16 23 30 08: 05 12 19 26 07: 01 08 15 22 27 06: 03 10 17 23 05: 06 13 20 27 04: 01 08 15 22 29 03: 04 11 18 25 02: 04 11 18 25 01: 07 14 21 28 Dan's Reports Fund fees revisited T class funds Bonds vs. bond funds Bear market protectors Investing in bonds Ignore bonds at your peril Coping with change Future of trust funds Dilution trumps Are fees excessive? Performance anxiety Top advisory model? 81-106 a step back Poor fund classifications Pension shortfall A longer-term report card Information overload About Dan Privacy Policy |
The Stingy News Weekly (06/03/2007)"In the financial world it tends to be misleading to state, "There is no free lunch." Rather the more meaningful comment is, "Somebody has to pay for lunch."" - Martin Whitman Stingy Links http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/articles/articlearchive.shtml Make Benjamin Graham proud http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/LAC.20070601.RNUMBERCRUNCH01/TPStory/Business "Today we'll get some help from Bob Tattersall, executive vice-president of Howson Tattersall Investment Counsel, and Benjamin Graham, the dean of value investing. Mr. Tattersall suggests a value screen based on what Mr. Graham calls net current asset value. Mr. Graham defined this screen as working capital minus all obligations, including preferred stock." Turtles in Omaha http://www.leggmason.com/funds/knowledge/mauboussin/TurtlesOmaha.pdf "Most of us frame the success or failure of a financial proposition in terms of the price. For instance, if you buy a stock at $30, any price above that level is mentally successful; any price below it is mentally unsuccessful. What investors often fail to consider is that change in wealth is not a function of how often you're right, it's a function of how much money you make when you're right versus how much you lose when you're wrong. You need to consider both frequency and magnitude to understand investment results. Faith illustrates this point by sharing 20 years of results for a trading system. Over that time span, the system generated about 5,600 trades, or around 250 a year. Of those trades, a shade over two-thirds lost money, making the success ratio less than one-third. But the winning trades earned 2.2 times the losing trades on average, netting a substantial overall profit." It feels good to be good http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/05/27/AR2007052701056.html "The results were showing that when the volunteers placed the interests of others before their own, the generosity activated a primitive part of the brain that usually lights up in response to food or sex. Altruism, the experiment suggested, was not a superior moral faculty that suppresses basic selfish urges but rather was basic to the brain, hard-wired and pleasurable." Value investors zig when others zag http://www.canada.com/nationalpost/financialpost/story.html?id=97048345-a206-4943-9c37-9e5dadf8bd33 "Value investing should be a breeze, in theory. "We like to buy a dollar for 50c," is the rallying cry of this breed, by which they mean they like to buy undervalued assets before the market catches on to the deals and drives them back up to a buck or, ideally, a lot more. Trouble is, it is not easy to spot these undervalued dollars because they are not exactly advertised like products on a Wal-Mart shelf. Benjamin Graham, author of The Intelligent Investor, widely considered the Bible of value investing, knew a 50c dollar when he saw one." Sidekick has sage advice of his own http://www.canada.com/nationalpost/financialpost/story.html?id=ad18b806-6c2e-4a17-bd3f-7dea32ee96ba "There are two great shareholder meetings in May: the love-in at Omaha at which Warren Buffett, the legendary head of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., entertains and explains his investment philosophy; and a session in Pasadena, Calif., at which Charlie Munger, Buffett's 83-year old sidekick (he is vice-chairman at Berkshire), regales the troops from Wesco Financial Corp., an 80.1%-owned subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway. Munger is Wesco's chairman." Top 20 questions from 2007's meeting http://www.jvbruni.com/Berkshire%202007annualmeeting.pdf "The measurement of volatility: it's nice, it's mathematical, and wrong. Volatility is not risk. Those who have written about risk don't know how to measure risk. Past volatility does not measure risk. When farm prices crashed, [farm price] volatility went up, but a farm priced at $600 per acre that was formerly $2,000 per acre isn't riskier because it's more volatile. [Measures like] beta let people who teach finance use the math they've learned. That's nonsense. Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing. Dexter Shoes was a terrible mistake. I was wrong about the business, but not because shoe prices were volatile. If you understand the business you own, you're not taking risk. Volatility is useful for people who want a career in teaching. I cannot recall a case where we lost a lot of money due to volatility. The whole concept of volatility as a measure of risk has developed in my lifetime and isn't any use to us." Fairfax braces for meltdown http://www.thestar.com/columnists/article/217898 "Prem Watsa says investors around the world are not being paid enough for the inherent risk in stocks, bonds and real estate. The chair of Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd. is not crying poor for successful capitalists like himself, though. He is sounding a warning call to investors, big and small. The renowned but recently embattled sleuth of under-valued assets . an acolyte of Depression-era investment theorist Benjamin Graham . has acted on his concern to protect his stable of general insurance and re-insurance companies." S&P/TSX60 Value Screens http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy.shtml High Dividend Yield Stocks P/E P/B P/S P/C P/D Yield* ============================================== === === === === === ====== Biovail (BVF) 2 2 1 5 5 5 National Bank of Canada (NA) 5 4 4 3 5 5 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 4 4 3 3 5 5 BCE (BCE) 3 3 3 5 5 5 Transalta (TA) 1 4 3 4 5 5 TransCanada (TRP) 3 4 2 4 5 5 Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) 4 3 3 2 5 5 Enbridge (ENB) 3 3 5 3 5 5 Royal Bank (RY) 4 2 3 2 5 5 CIBC (CM) 5 3 4 2 4 4 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/dogs.shtml Value Ratio Stocks P/E P/B P/S P/C P/D VR ============================================== === === === === === ===== National Bank of Canada (NA) 5 4 4 3 5 2.9 Teck Cominco Limited (TCK.B) 5 5 4 5 4 3.7 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 4 4 3 3 5 3.8 Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) 4 3 3 2 5 4.1 CIBC (CM) 5 3 4 2 4 4.2 Biovail (BVF) 2 2 1 5 5 4.4 Royal Bank (RY) 4 2 3 2 5 4.6 BCE (BCE) 3 3 3 5 5 4.7 TransCanada (TRP) 3 4 2 4 5 5.2 Sun Life (SLF) 4 5 4 1 4 5.4 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/valueratio.shtml Graham Stocks P/E P/B P/D G$ dG$(%) ============================================== === === === ====== ====== Teck Cominco Limited (TCK.B) 5 5 4 61.32 35.46 Lundin Mining Corporation (LUN) 5 5 0 14.02 6.65 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/graham.shtml *Notes: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/notes.shtml Books for Stingy Investors What Works On Wall Street by James O'Shaughnessy Historical stock data is what O'Shaughnessy's book is all about. If you want to know how straightforward stock selection techniques have done, pick up What Works on Wall Street and you'll find out. O'Shaughnessy's book is a must have reference for any serious student of the market. Amazon Link: http://www.amazon.ca/exec/obidos/ASIN/0071452257/ Stock Research From Dan Hallett & Associates The Rothery Report http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/store.shtml The Rothery Report provides research on select deep-value stocks in North America. Discover overlooked and undervalued stocks in quarterly investment reports which provide detailed analysis of Canadian and U.S. stocks. Weekly email news and additional updates keep subscribers informed about new opportunities and developments. Rothery Report Performance (03/31/2001 to 03/31/2007) Average Capital Gain Average Holding Period Sold Stocks: 75.5% Sold Stocks: 2.1 Years All Stocks: 51.5% All Stocks: 2.3 Years Special Bonus Reports: Top Smaller Stocks 2007 http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/store/TopSmallStocks.shtml Learn More http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/store.shtml Subscribe Today http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/store/order.shtml If you'd like to suggest The Stingy News to a friend, please point them to: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Please visit the StingyInvestor website at http://www.stingyinvestor.com To (un)subscribe please use our email centre at http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Email comments or questions to info@stingyinvestor.com Refer to legal & conflict of interest disclaimers at http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/legal.shtml ISSN 1499-2795 Copyright Dan Hallett and Associates Inc., 2007. All rights reserved. The securities mentioned in this report are not appropriate for all investors. Consult your professional investment advisor before making any investment decision. While all reasonable effort is made to ensure the accuracy of information and data contained herein, accuracy can not be guaranteed. Past performance is not a good predictor of future performance. Results are not guaranteed and we assume no liability whatsoever for any material losses that may occur. No compensation for suggesting particular securities or financial advisors is solicited or accepted. The information in this newsletter, and in its related website, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, financial advice or recommendations. Investing in stocks can be risky and may result in substantial losses. A Dan Hallett and Associates Inc.(DH&A) publication. DH&A is registered as Investment Counsel in the province of Ontario. DH&A, or related-parties may have an interest in the securities mentioned. | ||||
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Disclaimers: Consult with a qualified investment advisor before
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A Dan Hallett and Associates Inc. publication. Norm Rothery, Ph.D., CFA, is the Chief Investment Strategist at Dan Hallett and Associates Inc. (DH&A) and the founder of StingyInvestor.com. DH&A is registered as Investment Counsel in the province of Ontario. Norm, DH&A, or related-parties may have an interest in the securities mentioned. More... | |||||