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Stingy News Quarterly 2008: Q1 Q2 Q3 2007: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2006: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2005: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2004: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2003: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2002: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2001: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Stingy News Weekly 2008 10: 05 09: 07 14 21 28 08: 01 10 17 24 31 07: 06 13 20 27 06: 01 08 15 22 29 05: 04 11 18 25 04: 06 13 20 27 03: 02 09 16 23 30 02: 03 10 17 24 01: 06 13 20 27 2007 12: 02 09 16 23 30 11: 04 11 18 25 10: 07 14 21 28 09: 02 09 16 23 30 08: 05 12 19 26 07: 01 08 15 22 27 06: 03 10 17 23 05: 06 13 20 27 04: 01 08 15 22 29 03: 04 11 18 25 02: 04 11 18 25 01: 07 14 21 28 Dan's Reports Dilution excessive Fund fees revisited T class funds Bonds vs. bond funds Bear market protectors Investing in bonds Ignore bonds at your peril Coping with change Future of trust funds Dilution trumps Are fees excessive? Performance anxiety Top advisory model? 81-106 a step back Poor fund classifications Pension shortfall A longer-term report card Information overload About Dan Privacy Policy |
The Stingy News Weekly (06/15/2008)"I have owned one stock since 1969, two since 1988 and one I started buying in 1986 or so. That's my portfolio. Six stocks. I once owned 17, but that was way too much" - Philip Fisher Stingy Links http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/articles/articlearchive.shtml Credit crunch prepares feast for value hunters http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/LAC.20080613.RVALUE13/TPStory/Business "Value investors look at measures such as price-to-earnings and price-to-book ratios to find stocks that are trading at bargain prices. A key premise of value investing is that markets often overreact to negative news, pushing stocks below their true worth. The idea is to buy the stocks when nobody else wants them, so you can profit when the market comes back to its senses. Sound simple? It isn't. Buying stocks others are ditching requires a strong contrarian streak and loads of patience while you wait for the price to recover. Sometimes it takes years; sometimes it never happens." Fair value accounting rarely fair http://www.advisor.ca/news/article.jsp?content=20080613_153708_11196 "Brooks added that,while FVA attempts to value investment vehicles by interpreting today's market value, proponents of this accounting standard fail to appreciate how the market works. "Fair value accounting will show a TSX sticker price for 3,000 shares the same as 300,000 shares - but the market shows us differently," explains Brooks." 'Lazy Portfolios' for stagflation http://www.marketwatch.com/News/Story/Story.aspx?guid=c65ffb56f168427ea22a492d5f1eeb86&siteid=nwhfunds&sguid=wnDEg3Lq2Em-orYVUUiQNg "If you don't have a Lazy Portfolio now is the time to build your own using the eight models below. And remember, back in the bad old days of the 2000-2002 bear-recession, one of them, the Coffeehouse, was killing the S&P 500 by 15 percentage points each of the three years -- more proof passive investing beats action. You also don't need a lot of funds with this strategy. That's important if you're young, new at the game or just don't have a lot of money to invest and can't afford to plunk down the $33,000 for the initial investments in an 11-fund portfolio. So let's look at the smaller portfolios first to prove the point. Here's a comparison of the bottom lines of all eight Lazy Portfolios." Canadian Tax Freedom Day: June 14 http://www.fraserinstitute.org/COMMERCE.WEB/product_files/TaxFreedomDay2008_English.pdf "The latest Tax Freedom Day in Canadian history was recorded in 2005, when it fell on June 25. Since 2005, Tax Freedom Day for the average Canadian family has steadily decreased. Tax Freedom Day dropped to June 23 in 2006 and June 18 in 2007. This year, Tax Freedom Day arrives four days earlier than in 2007. While recent Tax Freedom Days show a slight reduction in the tax burden, it is nevertheless a fact that Tax Freedom Day this year is over 40 days later than it was 47 years ago. In 1961, the earliest year for which the calculation has been made, Canadian Tax Freedom Day was May 3. By 1981, it had advanced to May 30, and in 2008 Tax Freedom Day will, as noted, fall on June 14." Hedge funds can vote at CSX meeting http://www.nytimes.com/2008/06/12/business/12csx.html?_r=1&oref=slogin "CSX argued that the brokerage firms, which nominally own the shares although they have no economic stake in the company, had good business reasons to vote as the hedge funds wish. If they did not do so, such firms would risk losing business from the hedge funds. Judge Kaplan said there were 'persuasive reasons' for concluding that the funds 'beneficially owned at least some and quite possibly all' of the shares bought by the brokerage firms to hedge their swap positions." America's hottest investor http://money.cnn.com/2008/05/23/magazines/fortune/birger_americas_hottest_investor.fortune/ "Henry, himself a long-time shareholder in Heebner's funds, says what first impressed him about Heebner was a little gambit he had going in finance class. Classmates would bring him silver dollars, which Heebner would exchange for dollar bills. Says Henry: "Ken was hoarding silver dollars on the idea that silver was going to keep appreciating, which would eventually force the Treasury to stop issuing new silver coins." And that's exactly what happened. "It was funny as hell - he'd be sitting there with piles of silver dollars on his desk - but Ken had it nailed," Henry says. "He saw something the rest of us didn't. That's Ken - that's always been Ken." Asked about the silver dollars, Heebner smiles and reveals that it was more than a lark for him. At one point he'd accumulated 13,000 silver dollars and had even taken out a bank loan to help finance his little venture. "The Treasury had these uncirculated silver dollars in bags in vaults. You could walk in with a thousand dollars, and they'd give you a bag of 1,000 silver dollars." It's still the best deal he's ever seen, he says: "You couldn't lose, but you could make a lot." Heebner figures he eventually netted around $15,000, but he was less successful when he tried to parlay his experience into a term paper about why silver prices were going up: "I didn't get a very good grade."" Trader, father, veteran, convict http://money.cnn.com/2008/05/30/news/newsmakers/Trader_father_Morris.fortune/index.htm "As famous CEOs marched off to jail, so did lots of guys like Craig Gile. The Citigroup trader had a wonderful life - until the Feds decided to make an example of him. Was it fair?" Stocks buffett would love http://www.kiplinger.com/magazine/archives/2008/07/stocks_buffett_would_love.html "Buffett hasn't asked for our help, but we've identified five companies to lighten his pocketbook. Even if he doesn't buy them, the stocks should appeal to mortals, too." How long will you live? http://money.cnn.com/2008/06/09/magazines/fortune/how_long_will_you_live_Colvin.fortune/index.htm "The hardest question in retirement planning is the first one: How long do you expect to live? I'm afraid recent developments are making that question even harder to answer. But it's unavoidable, so what's the smart way to think about it now?" Downsizing the American home http://money.cnn.com/2008/06/02/real_estate/Downsizing_American_Home_Tully.fortune/index.htm "During the housing bubble, KB Home priced out first-time homebuyers by building bigger. Its new, more modest model provides a glimpse of what the return of the housing market may look like." Companies promise CEOs lavish posthumous paydays http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121305922859459465.html "You still can't take it with you. But some executives have arranged for the next best thing: huge corporate payouts to their heirs if they die in office." Buffett's big bet http://money.cnn.com/2008/06/04/news/newsmakers/buffett_bet.fortune/index.htm?postversion=2008060908 "Will a collection of hedge funds, carefully selected by experts, return more to investors over the next 10 years than the S&P 500? That question is now the subject of a bet between Warren Buffett, the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, and Protege Partners LLC, a New York City money management firm that runs funds of hedge funds - in other words, a firm whose existence rests on its ability to put its clients' money into the best hedge funds and keep it out of the underperformers. You can guess which party is taking which side." S&P/TSX60 Value Screens http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy.shtml High Dividend Yield Stocks P/E P/B P/S P/C P/D Yield* ========================================== === === === === === ====== Biovail (BVF) 5 5 4 5 5 5 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 4 5 5 1 5 5 CIBC (CM) 0 4 5 5 5 5 National Bank of Canada (NA) 3 4 5 5 5 5 BCE (BCE) 5 4 4 5 5 5 Royal Bank (RY) 4 3 4 5 5 5 Telus (T) 5 4 4 5 5 5 Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) 3 3 3 1 5 5 TransCanada (TRP) 3 4 3 4 5 5 Shaw Comm Cl.B (SJR.B) 3 2 2 3 4 4 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/dogs.shtml Value Ratio Stocks P/E P/B P/S P/C P/D VR ========================================== === === === === === ===== Biovail (BVF) 5 5 4 5 5 0.7 BCE (BCE) 5 4 4 5 5 1.6 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 4 5 5 1 5 1.8 Thomson (TOC) 5 4 2 2 4 1.9 Telus (T) 5 4 4 5 5 2.6 Royal Bank (RY) 4 3 4 5 5 3.2 Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) 3 3 3 1 5 3.5 Sun Life (SLF) 4 4 4 1 4 3.5 Toronto Dominion Bank (TD) 4 3 3 2 4 3.5 National Bank of Canada (NA) 3 4 5 5 5 3.7 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/valueratio.shtml Graham Stocks P/E P/B P/D G$ dG$(%) ========================================== === === === ====== ====== ACE Aviation (ACE.B) 5 5 0 84.84 288.10 Thomson (TOC) 5 4 4 55.77 48.79 Magna Cl.A (MG.A) 4 5 3 100.28 37.39 Biovail (BVF) 5 5 5 14.15 30.27 Nova (NCX) 5 4 2 35.98 26.89 BCE (BCE) 5 4 5 40.06 19.05 Canadian Tire (CTC.A) 5 5 3 67.14 16.76 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 4 5 5 49.92 11.17 Weston George (WN) 4 5 4 52.85 10.59 Sun Life (SLF) 4 4 4 49.75 10.48 Inmet Mining (IMN) 5 3 1 75.46 8.50 Canadian Pacific Rail (CP) 4 4 3 68.68 3.37 Petro Canada (PCA) 5 3 2 60.44 3.08 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/graham.shtml *Notes: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/notes.shtml Switch to the HTML version if the tables aren't formatted properly. http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Books for Stingy Investors The Aggressive Conservative Investor by Martin Whitman & Martin Shubik Originally published in 1979, this value classic is once again in bookstores with a new introduction but most of the tome remains unchanged. Aside from providing a glimpse into investing in the late 1970s, much of Whitman's basic moneymaking approach, which focuses on balance sheet values, continues to apply today. A great book for more seasoned investors but it might be a little heavy for some. Amazon Link: http://www.amazon.ca/exec/obidos/ASIN/0471768057/ Stock Research From Dan Hallett & Associates The Rothery Report http://www.rotheryreport.com/ The Rothery Report provides research on select deep-value stocks in North America. Discover overlooked and undervalued stocks in quarterly investment reports which provide detailed analysis of Canadian and U.S. stocks. Weekly email news and additional updates keep subscribers informed about new opportunities and developments. Rothery Report Performance (03/31/2001 to 03/31/2008) Average Capital Gain Average Holding Period 40.9% 2.4 Years Learn More http://www.rotheryreport.com/store/store.shtml Subscribe Today http://www.rotheryreport.com/store/order.shtml If you'd like to suggest The Stingy News to a friend, please point them to: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Please visit the StingyInvestor website at http://www.stingyinvestor.com To (un)subscribe please use our email centre at http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Email comments or questions to info@stingyinvestor.com Refer to legal & conflict of interest disclaimers at http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/legal.shtml Privacy Policy http://www.ndir.com/SI/legal/privacy.shtml We do not rent or sell our email list to third parties. ISSN 1499-2795 Copyright Dan Hallett and Associates Inc., 2008. All rights reserved. The securities mentioned in this report are not appropriate for all investors. Consult your professional investment advisor before making any investment decision. While all reasonable effort is made to ensure the accuracy of information and data contained herein, accuracy can not be guaranteed. Past performance is not a good predictor of future performance. Results are not guaranteed and we assume no liability whatsoever for any material losses that may occur. No compensation for suggesting particular securities or financial advisors is solicited or accepted. The information in this newsletter, and in its related website, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, financial advice or recommendations. Investing in stocks can be risky and may result in substantial losses. A Dan Hallett and Associates Inc.(DH&A) publication. DH&A is registered as Investment Counsel in the province of Ontario. DH&A, or related-parties may have an interest in the securities mentioned. | ||||
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A Dan Hallett and Associates Inc. publication. Norm Rothery, Ph.D., CFA, is the Chief Investment Strategist at Dan Hallett and Associates Inc. (DH&A) and the founder of StingyInvestor.com. DH&A is registered as Investment Counsel in the province of Ontario. Norm, DH&A, or related-parties may have an interest in the securities mentioned. More... | |||||