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Stingy News Quarterly 2010: Q1 Q2 2009: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2008: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2007: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2006: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2005: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2004: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2003: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2002: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2001: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Stingy News Weekly 2010 06: 06 13 05: 02 09 16 23 30 04: 04 11 18 25 03: 07 14 21 28 02: 07 14 21 28 01: 03 10 17 24 31 2009 12: 06 13 20 27 11: 01 08 15 22 29 10: 04 11 18 25 09: 06 13 20 27 08: 09 16 23 30 07: 05 12 19 26 31 06: 07 14 21 28 05: 03 10 17 24 31 04: 05 12 19 26 03: 01 08 15 22 29 02: 01 08 15 22 01: 04 11 18 25 2008 12: 07 14 21 28 11: 02 09 16 23 30 10: 05 12 19 26 09: 07 14 21 28 08: 01 10 17 24 31 07: 06 13 20 27 06: 01 08 15 22 29 05: 04 11 18 25 04: 06 13 20 27 03: 02 09 16 23 30 02: 03 10 17 24 01: 06 13 20 27 Dan's Reports Perspective on the bear Dilution excessive Fund fees revisited T class funds Bonds vs. bond funds Bear market protectors Investing in bonds Ignore bonds at your peril Coping with change Future of trust funds Dilution trumps Are fees excessive? Performance anxiety Top advisory model? 81-106 a step back Poor fund classifications Pension shortfall A longer-term report card Information overload About Dan Privacy Policy |
The Stingy News Weekly (07/13/2008)"People like the robber barons assumed that the doctrine of the survival of the fittest authenticated them as deserving power. You know, "I'm the richest. Therefore, I'm the best. God's in his heaven, etc." And that reaction of the robber barons was so irritating to people that it made it unfashionable to think of an economy as an ecosystem. But the truth is that it is a lot like an ecosystem. And you get many of the same results." - Charlie Munger Stingy Links http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/articles/articlearchive.shtml Mexicans and machines http://reason.tv/video/show/451.html "'No job is safe from the robot threat!' warns Carey. Of course, the warning is more than a little tongue-in-cheek. There.s no need to take a sledgehammer to a robot, because, although technology shakes up the labor market, it ends up giving us higher living standards as well as more and better job opportunities." [Warning: Video contains scenes of violence and humour.] Welcome to the nanny state nation http://reason.tv/video/show/466.html "Even if we don't particularly like something we should be wary of banning it because every ban is backed up by the force of law. Plus, would you want to live in a nation that bans everything that offends someone?" Stop worrying, and learn to love the bear http://biz.yahoo.com/wallstreet/080712/sb121582067258747665_id.html?.v=1 "When you bought into the gospel of "stocks for the long run," did you have any idea how long the long run can turn out to be? Exactly 10 years ago, the Standard & Poor's 500-stock Index was at 1164; it closed Friday at 1239. That's an annualized average return of 0.63%. At that rate, it will take you 111 more years to double your money in the stock market." IndyMac seized by U.S. regulators http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aAYLeK3YAie4&refer=home "IndyMac Bancorp Inc. became the second- biggest federally insured financial company to be seized by U.S. regulators after a run by depositors left the California mortgage lender short on cash." Mortgage giants face pressure http://www.moneyweb.co.za/mw/view/mw/en/page94?oid=214654&sn=Detail "One possible scenario if Fannie and Freddie's financial position worsens: Under existing law, if either company were severely low on capital, it could fall under the control of their government regulator, which would then be responsible for the firm. That step -- known as placing it in a conservatorship -- would allow the mortgage company to continue operating, but the extent of its abilities in such a distressed situation remains unclear." The $5 trillion mess http://money.cnn.com/2008/07/11/news/economy/fannie_freddie.fortune/index.htm?postversion=2008071110 "They own or guarantee $5 trillion worth of mortgages- nearly half of all the country's outstanding home loan debt - and they're crashing. Big time. If Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac go under, it will wreak yet more havoc on an already wrecked housing market - making loans tougher to come by and possibly pushing hundreds of billions of dollars in cost on to U.S. taxpayers." Why Buffett is buying http://www.bloomberg.com/news/marketsmag/mm_0808_story1.html "Buffett, 77, can afford to throw a little mud on his competitors in the private equity industry. Wall Street's acquisition machine has seized up, while Buffett, in the valedictory chapter of a career stretching back more than 60 years, is on a buying spree. He has $35.6 billion in cash to spend, and he's looking for companies that he can buy at a reasonable price, that have experienced managers he trusts, products with strong market positions or other competitive advantages." Warren Buffett gets busy http://money.cnn.com/2008/07/10/markets/thebuzz/index.htm?postversion=2008071010 "But Buffett is putting things in perspective. Recession does not equal the second Great Depression or economic Armageddon. Rather, Buffett seems to be following the tried and true investing axiom that the best time to make long-term bets is when fear is at its peak. And make no mistake, this is a market ruled by fear right now." Spending safely http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/08_28/b4092052940408.htm "If you're getting ready to retire, you may already be familiar with "the 4% solution." For more than a decade, financial advisers have warned retirees that draining over 4% of their nest eggs in their inaugural retirement year could ultimately lead to financial ruin. The 4% mantra started with Bill Bengen, 60, a soft- spoken investment adviser in El Cajon, Calif., who has written a series of landmark research papers since 1994 on safe withdrawal rates. What most people don't realize, though, is that Bengen no longer recommends the 4% rate." Your post-subprime portfolio http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/08_28/b4092048922694.htm "Saving for retirement has never been easy, but the past year has made a complicated task all but overwhelming. The ongoing collapse of the credit markets, sparked initially by problems in subprime mortgages, has challenged some of investors' most cherished and reliable investment beliefs and strategies. Auction-rate securities sold as "cash equivalents" ended up sticking investors with huge losses, supposedly low-risk bond funds blew up, and for those who thought they'd pay for retirement by selling the house.well, need we say more?" Fannie Mae, Freddie losses make them 'insolvent' http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=as4DEc5UFopA&refer=home "While leading the St. Louis Fed, Poole roiled markets in 2003 when he said the government should consider severing its implied backing of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and said the companies lack the capital to weather financial market disruptions. In 2006 and 2007 he called for lawmakers to strip Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac of their charters." John Templeton dies at 95 http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601082&sid=aB0lgrhLjFjU&refer=canada "John Templeton, the billionaire U.S. philanthropist who made his fortune as the pioneer of global investing in the postwar boom, has died. He was 95." How are we doing? http://www.american.com/archive/2008/july-august-magazine-contents/how-are-we-doing "When a presidential election year collides with iffy economic times, the public's view of the U.S. economy turns gloomy. Perspective shrinks in favor of short-term assessments that focus on such unpleasant realities as falling job counts, sluggish GDP growth, uncertain incomes, rising oil and food prices, subprime mortgage woes, and wobbly financial markets. Taken together, it's enough to shake our faith in American progress. The best path to reviving that faith lies in gaining some perspective - getting out of the short-term rut, casting off the blinders that focus us on what will turn out to be mere footnotes in a longer-term march of progress." S&P/TSX60 Value Screens http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy.shtml High Dividend Yield Stocks P/E P/B P/S P/C P/D Yield* ========================================== === === === === === ====== Biovail (BVF) 5 5 4 5 5 5 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 4 5 5 1 5 5 CIBC (CM) 0 4 5 5 5 5 National Bank of Canada (NA) 3 4 4 5 5 5 Royal Bank (RY) 4 3 4 5 5 5 Telus (T) 5 4 4 5 5 5 Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) 3 3 3 1 5 5 Toronto Dominion Bank (TD) 4 4 3 2 5 5 TransCanada (TRP) 3 4 3 4 5 5 Shaw Comm Cl.B (SJR.B) 3 1 1 3 4 4 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/dogs.shtml Value Ratio Stocks P/E P/B P/S P/C P/D VR ========================================== === === === === === ===== Biovail (BVF) 5 5 4 5 5 0.6 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 4 5 5 1 5 1.6 Thomson (TOC) 5 4 2 2 4 1.9 Telus (T) 5 4 4 5 5 2.2 BCE (BCE) 5 3 3 4 4 2.3 Royal Bank (RY) 4 3 4 5 5 2.4 Toronto Dominion Bank (TD) 4 4 3 2 5 2.6 Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) 3 3 3 1 5 2.7 Sun Life (SLF) 4 5 5 1 4 2.9 Husky Energy (HSE) 4 2 3 3 4 3.0 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/valueratio.shtml Graham Stocks P/E P/B P/D G$ dG$(%) ========================================== === === === ====== ====== ACE Aviation (ACE.B) 5 5 0 84.81 592.86 Magna Cl.A (MG.A) 5 5 3 99.92 77.16 Thomson (TOC) 5 4 4 55.77 48.79 Nova (NCX) 5 4 3 35.99 43.26 Biovail (BVF) 5 5 5 14.14 39.04 Canadian Tire (CTC.A) 4 5 3 67.16 26.79 Sun Life (SLF) 4 5 4 49.87 22.14 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 4 5 5 49.93 19.31 Weston George (WN) 4 4 4 52.87 17.20 Inmet Mining (IMN) 5 3 1 75.34 15.83 Petro Canada (PCA) 5 4 2 60.46 15.71 Telus (T) 5 4 5 44.39 10.16 Canadian Pacific Rail (CP) 4 4 2 68.68 7.38 MDS Inc. (MDS) 2 5 0 15.98 6.28 Toronto Dominion Bank (TD) 4 4 5 60.12 2.38 BCE (BCE) 5 3 4 40.06 2.07 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/graham.shtml *Notes: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/notes.shtml Switch to the HTML version if the tables aren't formatted properly. http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Books for Stingy Investors Value Investing: A Balanced Approach by Martin J. Whitman Value Investing encourages investors to cast off the tyranny of earnings and to focus instead on balance sheets and book values. Well-capitalised firms can withstand an occasional headwind and can be excellent values provided that they are bought for reasonable prices. Safe and cheap are the driving factors for value investors. Although Whitman's prose is occasionally a bit dry, his useful ideas makes Value Investing well worth reading. Amazon Link: http://www.amazon.ca/exec/obidos/ASIN/0471398101/ Stock Research From Dan Hallett & Associates The Rothery Report http://www.rotheryreport.com/ The Rothery Report provides research on select deep-value stocks in North America. Discover overlooked and undervalued stocks in quarterly investment reports which provide detailed analysis of Canadian and U.S. stocks. Weekly email news and additional updates keep subscribers informed about new opportunities and developments. Rothery Report Performance (03/31/2001 to 03/31/2008) Average Capital Gain Average Holding Period 40.9% 2.4 Years Learn More http://www.rotheryreport.com/store/store.shtml Subscribe Today http://www.rotheryreport.com/store/order.shtml If you'd like to suggest The Stingy News to a friend, please point them to: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Please visit the StingyInvestor website at http://www.stingyinvestor.com To (un)subscribe please use our email centre at http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Email comments or questions to info@stingyinvestor.com Refer to legal & conflict of interest disclaimers at http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/legal.shtml Privacy Policy http://www.ndir.com/SI/legal/privacy.shtml We do not rent or sell our email list to third parties. ISSN 1499-2795 Copyright Dan Hallett and Associates Inc., 2008. All rights reserved. The securities mentioned in this report are not appropriate for all investors. Consult your professional investment advisor before making any investment decision. While all reasonable effort is made to ensure the accuracy of information and data contained herein, accuracy can not be guaranteed. Past performance is not a good predictor of future performance. Results are not guaranteed and we assume no liability whatsoever for any material losses that may occur. No compensation for suggesting particular securities or financial advisors is solicited or accepted. The information in this newsletter, and in its related website, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, financial advice or recommendations. Investing in stocks can be risky and may result in substantial losses. A Dan Hallett and Associates Inc.(DH&A) publication. DH&A is registered as Investment Counsel in the province of Ontario. DH&A, or related-parties may have an interest in the securities mentioned. | ||||
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A Dan Hallett and Associates Inc. publication. Norm Rothery, Ph.D., CFA, is the Chief Investment Strategist at Dan Hallett and Associates Inc. (DH&A) and the founder of StingyInvestor.com. DH&A is registered as Investment Counsel in the province of Ontario. Norm, DH&A, or related-parties may have an interest in the securities mentioned. More... | |||||