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Stingy News Quarterly 2008: Q1 2007: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2006: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2005: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2004: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2003: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2002: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2001: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Stingy News Weekly 2008 05: 04 11 04: 06 13 20 27 03: 02 09 16 23 30 02: 03 10 17 24 01: 06 13 20 27 2007 12: 02 09 16 23 30 11: 04 11 18 25 10: 07 14 21 28 09: 02 09 16 23 30 08: 05 12 19 26 07: 01 08 15 22 27 06: 03 10 17 23 05: 06 13 20 27 04: 01 08 15 22 29 03: 04 11 18 25 02: 04 11 18 25 01: 07 14 21 28 Dan's Reports Fund fees revisited T class funds Bonds vs. bond funds Bear market protectors Investing in bonds Ignore bonds at your peril Coping with change Future of trust funds Dilution trumps Are fees excessive? Performance anxiety Top advisory model? 81-106 a step back Poor fund classifications Pension shortfall A longer-term report card Information overload About Dan Privacy Policy |
The Stingy News Weekly (09/02/2007)"I will tell you how to become rich. Close the doors. Be fearful when others are greedy. Be greedy when others are fearful." - Warren Buffett Stingy Links http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/articles/articlearchive.shtml Bear bonanza http://www.forbes.com/free_forbes/2007/0917/042.html?partner=yahoomag "Earlier this year Prem Watsa, the gunslinging chief of Fairfax Financial, had $341 million riding on a hunch that dozens of brokers, banks and insurers could struggle paying their debts. Watsa has a history of making a killing on bearish bets. He sold half the company's stock holdings before the 1987 crash and bought puts against the S&P 500 before the index fell in 2000. But as summer began, his latest wager had produced nothing but losses. Then the credit markets seized up, and investors began clamoring for the Toronto insurer's collection of credit default swaps, basically insurance against bond defaults. Prices climbed. By the end of July Fairfax's swaps were worth $537 million, up 170% in a month." Take-home lessons on value investing http://news.morningstar.com/articlenet/article.aspx?id=204657 "If price volatility isn't a proper measure of risk, fluctuations can afford an investor the opportunity to purchase a business for less than it's worth, according to value investors like Pabrai. When the market smells trouble and sends a stock's price down, value investors smell a potential overreaction and get to work valuing the business." Hiding in plain sight http://www.reportonbusiness.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20070829.rmthow0428/BNStory/specialROBmagazine/home?pageRequested=all "Sisters Shirley Garwood and Helena Kells speak for many of Thow's former clients when they express amazement that Thow continues to live in a luxury condominium overlooking Puget Sound and is able to taunt them over the phone. "Isn't anything going to happen?" asks Garwood. "Isn't anyone going to do something about Ian Thow?"" A book-keeping error http://www.economist.com/finance/displaystory.cfm?story_id=9724324 "New research suggests that the increasing reach of fair-value accounting might be a mixed blessing. A paper by Guillaume Plantin of the London Business School, Haresh Sapra of the University of Chicago and Hyun Song Shin of Princeton University concludes that fair-value accounting could sometimes generate fluctuations in asset values that distort the very price information that it puts such store by." Why disciplined value investing is so difficult http://www.firsteaglefunds.com/firstEagle/fortune_world_according_to_eveillard_aug_07.pdf "Ask yourself a simple question, Jean-Marie Eveillard says. "If Warren Buffett is the second-richest man in the world, why aren't there more professional value investors?" In nature's casino http://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/26/magazine/26neworleans-t.html?pagewanted=all "From Miami to San Francisco, the nation's priciest real estate now faced beaches and straddled fault lines; its most vibrant cities occupied its most hazardous land. If, after World War II, you had set out to redistribute wealth to maximize the sums that might be lost to nature, you couldn't have done much better than Americans had done. And virtually no one - not even the weather bookies - fully understood the true odds." A psychology lesson from the markets http://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/26/business/yourmoney/26view.htm "Many people feel that they have discovered their true inner genius as investors and have relished the new self-expression and excitement. Investors across the world have been thinking that they are winners - not recognizing that much of their success is only a result of a boom. Declines in asset prices endanger this very self-esteem. That is why it is so hard to turn around investor attitudes once a downward psychology sets in. The Fed and other central banks do not have lithium or Prozac in their bag of remedies, and so cannot control it." S&P/TSX60 Value Screens http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy.shtml High Dividend Yield Stocks P/E P/B P/S P/C P/D Yield* ============================================== === === === === === ====== Biovail (BVF) 3 4 2 5 5 5 National Bank of Canada (NA) 5 5 4 3 5 5 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 4 4 3 3 5 5 TransCanada (TRP) 3 4 2 4 5 5 Royal Bank (RY) 4 2 3 2 5 5 CIBC (CM) 5 2 4 2 5 5 BCE (BCE) 4 3 3 4 5 5 Enbridge (ENB) 2 3 5 3 5 5 Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) 4 3 2 2 5 5 Transalta (TA) 0 4 3 3 4 4 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/dogs.shtml Value Ratio Stocks P/E P/B P/S P/C P/D VR ============================================== === === === === === ===== Biovail (BVF) 3 4 2 5 5 1.8 National Bank of Canada (NA) 5 5 4 3 5 2.2 CIBC (CM) 5 2 4 2 5 3.0 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 4 4 3 3 5 3.2 Royal Bank (RY) 4 2 3 2 5 3.5 Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) 4 3 2 2 5 3.8 Teck Cominco Limited (TCK.B) 5 3 4 5 4 3.9 BCE (BCE) 4 3 3 4 5 4.2 Toronto Dominion Bank (TD) 4 4 2 3 4 4.5 TransCanada (TRP) 3 4 2 4 5 4.6 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/valueratio.shtml Graham Stocks P/E P/B P/D G$ dG$(%) ============================================== === === === ====== ====== MDS Inc. (MDS) 5 5 0 40.28 94.61 Lundin Mining Corporation (LUN) 5 5 0 16.80 38.82 National Bank of Canada (NA) 5 5 5 58.11 5.80 Magna Cl.A (MG.A) 4 5 3 95.57 0.79 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/graham.shtml *Notes: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/notes.shtml Books for Stingy Investors A Random Walk Down Wall Street by Burton G. Malkiel Take a random walk down Wall Street and you'll learn a great deal about market history and current market theory. This book provides an excellent introduction to the markets and gives readers a good grounding in the efficient market hypothesis. Along the way Malkiel makes a very strong case for indexing but even active investors will find a great deal of useful information in his book. Amazon Link: http://www.amazon.ca/exec/obidos/ASIN/0393325350/ Stock Research From Dan Hallett & Associates The Rothery Report http://www.rotheryreport.com/ The Rothery Report provides research on select deep-value stocks in North America. Discover overlooked and undervalued stocks in quarterly investment reports which provide detailed analysis of Canadian and U.S. stocks. Weekly email news and additional updates keep subscribers informed about new opportunities and developments. Rothery Report Performance (03/31/2001 to 06/30/2007) Average Capital Gain Average Holding Period Sold Stocks: 74.1% Sold Stocks: 2.1 Years All Stocks: 53.6% All Stocks: 2.4 Years Learn More http://www.rotheryreport.com/store/store.shtml Subscribe Today http://www.rotheryreport.com/store/order.shtml If you'd like to suggest The Stingy News to a friend, please point them to: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Please visit the StingyInvestor website at http://www.stingyinvestor.com To (un)subscribe please use our email centre at http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Email comments or questions to info@stingyinvestor.com Refer to legal & conflict of interest disclaimers at http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/legal.shtml ISSN 1499-2795 Copyright Dan Hallett and Associates Inc., 2007. All rights reserved. The securities mentioned in this report are not appropriate for all investors. Consult your professional investment advisor before making any investment decision. While all reasonable effort is made to ensure the accuracy of information and data contained herein, accuracy can not be guaranteed. Past performance is not a good predictor of future performance. Results are not guaranteed and we assume no liability whatsoever for any material losses that may occur. No compensation for suggesting particular securities or financial advisors is solicited or accepted. The information in this newsletter, and in its related website, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, financial advice or recommendations. Investing in stocks can be risky and may result in substantial losses. A Dan Hallett and Associates Inc.(DH&A) publication. DH&A is registered as Investment Counsel in the province of Ontario. DH&A, or related-parties may have an interest in the securities mentioned. | ||||
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A Dan Hallett and Associates Inc. publication. Norm Rothery, Ph.D., CFA, is the Chief Investment Strategist at Dan Hallett and Associates Inc. (DH&A) and the founder of StingyInvestor.com. DH&A is registered as Investment Counsel in the province of Ontario. Norm, DH&A, or related-parties may have an interest in the securities mentioned. More... | |||||