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Stingy News Quarterly 2008: Q1 2007: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2006: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2005: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2004: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2003: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2002: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2001: Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Stingy News Weekly 2008 05: 04 11 04: 06 13 20 27 03: 02 09 16 23 30 02: 03 10 17 24 01: 06 13 20 27 2007 12: 02 09 16 23 30 11: 04 11 18 25 10: 07 14 21 28 09: 02 09 16 23 30 08: 05 12 19 26 07: 01 08 15 22 27 06: 03 10 17 23 05: 06 13 20 27 04: 01 08 15 22 29 03: 04 11 18 25 02: 04 11 18 25 01: 07 14 21 28 Dan's Reports Fund fees revisited T class funds Bonds vs. bond funds Bear market protectors Investing in bonds Ignore bonds at your peril Coping with change Future of trust funds Dilution trumps Are fees excessive? Performance anxiety Top advisory model? 81-106 a step back Poor fund classifications Pension shortfall A longer-term report card Information overload About Dan Privacy Policy |
The Stingy News Weekly (10/21/2007)"In my whole life, I have known no wise people (over a broad subject matter area) who didn't read all the time - none, zero. You'd be amazed at how much Warren reads - at how much I read. My children laugh at me. They think I'm a book with a couple of legs sticking out." - Charlie Munger Stingy Links http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/articles/articlearchive.shtml Housing: that sinking feeling http://finance.yahoo.com/real-estate/article/103670/Housing:-That-Sinking-Feeling "For the first time, big builders are offering massive, often six-figure, price cuts in overbuilt developments nationwide, giving the industry a kind of shock treatment designed to move inventory off the books fast. It remains to be seen whether these radical measures will revive the market or deepen the slump, but it's certainly having an impact on the local communities." Global warming delusions http://online.wsj.com/article/SB119258265537661384.html "Instead, like fashions that took hold in the past and are eloquently analyzed in the classic 19th century book "Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds," the popular imagination today appears to have been captured by beliefs that have little scientific basis. Some colleagues who share some of my doubts argue that the only way to get our society to change is to frighten people with the possibility of a catastrophe, and that therefore it is all right and even necessary for scientists to exaggerate. They tell me that my belief in open and honest assessment is nave. "Wolves deceive their prey, don't they?" one said to me recently. Therefore, biologically, he said, we are justified in exaggerating to get society to change." Credit crunch taking a toll, Bank of Canada says https://secure.globeadvisor.com/servlet/ArticleNews/story/RTGAM/20071018/wbocmonetary1018 "The global credit crunch is taking a toll on Canadian banks' balance sheets, and has prompted lenders to curtail their credit, the Bank of Canada says. 'Canadian financial institutions are facing substantially increased funding needs,' the central bank said in its first full tally of the damage done by the recent financial turmoil. Canadian banks have been forced to hold high amounts of commercial paper of questionable value in their inventories, the central bank pointed out. Plus, corporate borrowers are calling on their banks to come through with funding arranged under pre-committed lines of credit, now that some market sources of funding are not as accessible. The Canadian banks are solvent enough to handle it, the central bank said, but they are reacting by tightening up credit conditions." Junk mortgages under the microscope http://money.cnn.com/2007/10/15/markets/junk_mortgages.fortune/index.htm "It's getting hard to wrap your brain around subprime mortgages, Wall Street's fancy name for junk home loans. There's so much subprime stuff floating around - more than $1.5 trillion of loans, maybe $200 billion of losses, thousands of families facing foreclosure, umpteen politicians yapping - that it's like the federal budget: It's just too big to be understandable. So let's reduce this macro story to human scale. Meet GSAMP Trust 2006-S3, a $494 million drop in the junk-mortgage bucket, part of the more than half-a-trillion dollars of mortgage-backed securities issued last year. We found this issue by asking mortgage mavens to pick the worst deal they knew of that had been floated by a top-tier firm - and this one's pretty bad." Views on the Canadian dollar http://www.abcfunds.com/datav3/from_the_desk_of_irwin_michael/2007-10-17.shtml "Over the past year the Canadian dollar has appreciated from $0.85 to $1.02US or 20%. Admittedly, the Canadian dollar was undervalued at $0.70-$0.80 and at $0.85, in our opinion, it was fairly valued." Dividend index hides some dogs https://secure.globeadvisor.com/servlet/ArticleNews/story/gam/20071017/RHEINZL17 "We like dividends, particularly companies that raise their dividends regularly. For tax-efficient income and steady capital gains, it's hard to beat a basket of stocks that bump up their payouts every year. So, naturally, we were excited to hear that Standard & Poor's has launched a Canadian version of its "Dividend Aristocrats" index, with an exchange-traded fund expected to follow, possibly next year. Unfortunately, the more we learned about the index, the more glaring were its shortcomings." S&P/TSX60 Value Screens http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy.shtml High Dividend Yield Stocks P/E P/B P/S P/C P/D Yield* ============================================== === === === === === ====== Biovail (BVF) 3 4 2 5 5 5 National Bank of Canada (NA) 5 5 4 3 5 5 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 4 4 3 3 5 5 Royal Bank (RY) 4 3 3 2 5 5 TransCanada (TRP) 3 4 2 4 5 5 CIBC (CM) 5 2 4 2 5 5 BCE (BCE) 3 3 3 4 5 5 Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) 4 3 2 2 5 5 Enbridge (ENB) 2 3 5 3 5 5 Toronto Dominion Bank (TD) 4 4 3 3 4 4 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/dogs.shtml Value Ratio Stocks P/E P/B P/S P/C P/D VR ============================================== === === === === === ===== Biovail (BVF) 3 4 2 5 5 1.8 National Bank of Canada (NA) 5 5 4 3 5 1.9 Bank of Montreal (BMO) 4 4 3 3 5 2.8 CIBC (CM) 5 2 4 2 5 2.9 Royal Bank (RY) 4 3 3 2 5 3.3 Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) 4 3 2 2 5 3.5 Toronto Dominion Bank (TD) 4 4 3 3 4 4.1 Teck Cominco Limited (TCK.B) 5 3 4 4 4 4.2 BCE (BCE) 3 3 3 4 5 4.2 TransCanada (TRP) 3 4 2 4 5 4.7 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/valueratio.shtml Graham Stocks P/E P/B P/D G$ dG$(%) ============================================== === === === ====== ====== MDS Inc. (MDS) 5 5 0 40.86 96.80 Lundin Mining Corporation (LUN) 5 5 0 16.79 34.01 National Bank of Canada (NA) 5 5 5 59.33 15.33 Magna Cl.A (MG.A) 4 5 3 95.71 10.48 More Info: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/graham.shtml *Notes: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/strategy/notes.shtml Switch to the HTML version if the tables aren't formatted properly. http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Books for Stingy Investors Buffett: The Making of an American Capitalist by Roger Lowenstein The Making of an American Capitalist is the best biography of Warren Buffett that I've read. By reading this book, you'll find out how a young Buffett made money selling Coca-Cola to his friends and how an older Buffett cashed in with Coke's stock. You'll also discover why Warren started buying Berkshire Hathaway's stock below $8 per share and how he boosted its value to lofty heights (currently near $80,000 per share). The Making of an American Capitalist is a must have for Buffett fans. Amazon Link: http://www.amazon.ca/exec/obidos/ASIN/0385484917/ Stock Research From Dan Hallett & Associates The Rothery Report http://www.rotheryreport.com/ The Rothery Report provides research on select deep-value stocks in North America. Discover overlooked and undervalued stocks in quarterly investment reports which provide detailed analysis of Canadian and U.S. stocks. Weekly email news and additional updates keep subscribers informed about new opportunities and developments. Rothery Report Performance (03/31/2001 to 09/30/2007) Average Capital Gain Average Holding Period 53.4% 2.5 Years Learn More http://www.rotheryreport.com/store/store.shtml Subscribe Today http://www.rotheryreport.com/store/order.shtml If you'd like to suggest The Stingy News to a friend, please point them to: http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Please visit the StingyInvestor website at http://www.stingyinvestor.com To (un)subscribe please use our email centre at http://www.stingyinvestor.com/cgi-bin/email.cgi Email comments or questions to info@stingyinvestor.com Refer to legal & conflict of interest disclaimers at http://www.stingyinvestor.com/SI/legal.shtml ISSN 1499-2795 Copyright Dan Hallett and Associates Inc., 2007. All rights reserved. The securities mentioned in this report are not appropriate for all investors. Consult your professional investment advisor before making any investment decision. While all reasonable effort is made to ensure the accuracy of information and data contained herein, accuracy can not be guaranteed. Past performance is not a good predictor of future performance. Results are not guaranteed and we assume no liability whatsoever for any material losses that may occur. No compensation for suggesting particular securities or financial advisors is solicited or accepted. The information in this newsletter, and in its related website, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, financial advice or recommendations. Investing in stocks can be risky and may result in substantial losses. A Dan Hallett and Associates Inc.(DH&A) publication. DH&A is registered as Investment Counsel in the province of Ontario. DH&A, or related-parties may have an interest in the securities mentioned. | ||||
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A Dan Hallett and Associates Inc. publication. Norm Rothery, Ph.D., CFA, is the Chief Investment Strategist at Dan Hallett and Associates Inc. (DH&A) and the founder of StingyInvestor.com. DH&A is registered as Investment Counsel in the province of Ontario. Norm, DH&A, or related-parties may have an interest in the securities mentioned. More... | |||||